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Hawkish Fed ExpectationsEURUSD is falling today ahead of keenly awaited speeches from both ECB’s Lagarde and Fed’s Warsh. Hawkish Fed expectations have propelled USD higher in recent weeks with traders now pricing in a more than 80% chance of a hike by year end. Th...
Hawkish Fed ExpectationsEURUSD is falling today ahead of keenly awaited speeches from both ECB’s Lagarde and Fed’s Warsh. Hawkish Fed expectations hav
Daily Market Outlook, July 1, 2026 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute — Dollar Squeeze, Yen Drift, Gilt Noise‘The Dollar is squeezing higher, the Yen is sliding without Tokyo’s usual bark, gold is cracking under the we...
Daily Market Outlook, July 1, 2026 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute — Dollar Squeeze, Yen Drift, Gilt
Copper Tariff Decision PendingCopper prices are down sharply today as traders await a report from the US Commerce Dept determining whether or not import tariffs will apply to refined copper tariffs. The metal is also being weighed upon by fresh strength in USD this...
Copper Tariff Decision PendingCopper prices are down sharply today as traders await a report from the US Commerce Dept determining whether or not impo
H1’26 Recap / H2 Setup — Stronger for Longer, But RougherThe first-half scorecard is stronger than it may feel. The S&P 500 has generated a +10% total return at the halfway mark, which looks somewhat anticlimactic versus the convexity of recent years and lags b...
H1’26 Recap / H2 Setup — Stronger for Longer, But RougherThe first-half scorecard is stronger than it may feel. The S&P 500 has generated a +10% t
Fed Chair to SpeakThe US Dollar remains buoyant today ahead of a closely watched speech by new Fed chairman Kevin Warsh who speaks at the ECB’s Sintra conference today. While the DXY is down from last week’s highs, the correction lower has run out of steam and pric...
Fed Chair to SpeakThe US Dollar remains buoyant today ahead of a closely watched speech by new Fed chairman Kevin Warsh who speaks at the ECB’s Sintra
S&P500 Daily Action Areas & Price Targets 1/7/26***QUOTING ES1! FOR CASH US500 EQUIVALENT LEVELS, SUBTRACT POINT DIFFERENCE***WEEKLY BULL BEAR ZONE 7350/40WEEKLY RANGE RES 7280 SUP 7520MONTHLY RANGE RES 7932 SUP 7384JHEQX Q3 Collar Short Call Cap: ~7,750 – ...
S&P500 Daily Action Areas & Price Targets 1/7/26***QUOTING ES1! FOR CASH US500 EQUIVALENT LEVELS, SUBTRACT POINT DIFFERENCE***WEEKLY BULL BEAR
Copper Bounces BackCopper prices are pushing higher again on Tuesday, seemingly shrugging off the rebound we’re seeing in the US Dollar today. Copper futures are now up 5.5% from last week’s lows and are crucially back above the 6.1090 level which has been a key pi...
Copper Bounces BackCopper prices are pushing higher again on Tuesday, seemingly shrugging off the rebound we’re seeing in the US Dollar today. Copper
JPM G10 FX DailyEUR: Rebuilding USD Length Into PayrollsHalf the year is nearly over.It has been eventful, that is for sure.There should be rebalancing noise today. Once that is out of the way, attention turns to another important payrolls print into a US holiday.A...
JPM G10 FX DailyEUR: Rebuilding USD Length Into PayrollsHalf the year is nearly over.It has been eventful, that is for sure.There should be rebalancin
BTC At LowsBitcoin bulls remain in a precarious state on Tuesday with the futures market remaining anchored to the YTD lows following the reversal lower from mid-June highs. The hawkish shift in trader’s Fed outlook on the back of the June FOMC has weighed heavily ...
BTC At LowsBitcoin bulls remain in a precarious state on Tuesday with the futures market remaining anchored to the YTD lows following the reversal low
Daily Market Outlook, June 30, 2026 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute — AI Melt-Up Meets Yen Meltdown‘AI is melting up, the Yen is melting down, chips are carrying the quarter, oil is doing the disinflation work, but ...
Daily Market Outlook, June 30, 2026 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute — AI Melt-Up Meets Yen Meltdown‘
